How to Avoid Failed Invalidated Harmonic Pattern - learning forex trading basics

How to Avoid Failed Invalidated Harmonic Pattern ~ learning forex trading basics

The Harmonic Pattern is so popular and we all agree it really works !! Many of Harmonic Trading topics are full of succesful screenshots of Patterns like Gartley, Butterfly, Bat ...etc. What about the opposite, the invalidated (also called failed) ones ? 

In fact, Harmonic Pattern success rate is only about 80%. 

Ill start posting some of failed cases and then I will show how to avoid it. Following examples present invalidated/failed patterns:

This is an emerging Bullish Gartley Pattern, deteced by one Harmonic Pattern Indicator, price was supposed to go up after the pattern is displayed... . what really happened afterward is price continuing down and the Harmonic Pattern expand its right wing and failed eventually

Here are more definitely failed pattern:

The pattern signal a short sell but price still go up

Bullish Butterfly doesnt work !!!

Thats why we have developed an extra confirmation oscillator to increase the successful ration of the pattern, it will filter out failed pattern and also reduce the number of potential trades. But as veteran traders Sive Morten has taught: "...Trader should better accept losing trading chance than losing trading capital..", I am happy to introduce it to you Super Trend Oscillator.

Come back to the very first screenshot in this post and compare the entry signal with the screenshot below, you will see how it pick the perfect bottom:

Compare this screenshot with the very first chart in this post to see how good it generate Buy Signal

Here is an overview of the whole system :

All Signals are generated consistently with the Emerging Harmonic Patterns and help you confidently enter the trade without worrying it would fail

Another successful case :

Here are our feedback of a recent Japanese Customer :

Happy recent customer !

This Super Oscillator is provided along with Harmonic Pattern Indicator for Price 27$. Instant download, no limit, no expiry !

Any question, email to lumina920 [at] nokiamail [dot] com.

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CAN YOU BEAT THE SYSTEM - fundamental forex trading books

CAN YOU BEAT THE SYSTEM ~ fundamental forex trading books

Can you beat the system ??

NO!, but you can still make great money. There is no humanly way that you can beat the system, but you can make a very comfortable and profitable living from forex. Forex has a language of its own and in order to have a glimpse of success, you have got to learn the language. The better you master and translate the language, the more successful you become.

What is this strange language????

It is the language of the charts. It doesnt matter whether you interpret candlesticks or bars ( I have a strong preference for candles), you must learn to properly interpret this secret chart language of price action. Your charts are the only indicator that is telling you the real right now truth.

The only disadvantage to the charts that you see is that you can not see what is going on behind the scenes; but many times if you are properly interpreting your charts, you will glean clues about the possible direction of the market.

Even with the knowledge of this secret mysterious chart language of price action, you can still get tricked. It happens.

Why ?????

Because the house always has and will keep the advantage. You can only hope that your interpretation of the language of the charts will be profitable for you most of the times. If you are properly interpreting this language most of the time, you will do very, very well as long as you dont allow your losses to run forever.

Even after some traders become fluent in this price action language, they allow their losses to run and cut their profits short. THIS IS BACKWARDS and WRONG. The profits are suppose to run and the losers are suppose to be cut short. As traders, we all know if we had cut that trade short when we saw the market turn against us, we would have come out with a small loss as opposed to the crippling monster we ended up with. Dont allow your losses to run free. It is up to you when you are comfortable cutting them, but dont allow them to take over.

LEARN YOUR CHART LANGUAGE!

Going to your local library and picking up Steve Nisons book is a great place to start.

YOU CAN DO THIS (^_^)

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Trading Indicators Can You Use too Many Technical Indicators - forex trading using daily charts

Trading Indicators Can You Use too Many Technical Indicators ~ forex trading using daily charts

To become successful, you really do not have to have several indicators. This is quite ironic but the most effective indicators are those that have been around the longest. Experts suggest that you stay away from complex set-ups and stick on the basic like MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence), Rate of Change (ROC), Relative Strength Index (RSI), Price and Volume Oscillator, and stochastics. 

There are literally hundreds of technical indicators out there and thousands of technical indicators combinations that can be used. But the problem lies on the premise. Since there are lots of technical indicators available at your disposal, you risk yourself of having too much of everything which can lead you with mastering nothing. This begs the question: "can you use too many technical indicators?"

Probably, you have asked the same question too and are trying to find the Holy Grail of combinations that will catapult you to immortality, at least in the trading world. You may test several technical indicators or technical indicators combinations that are suggested by some writings on the internet. But the thing is, there is no single technical indicator combination that is 100% successful. Because if there is, everyone will be using it and everyone will be rich right now. Right?

I am not saying, however, that the internet cannot give you something you can use or the internet is just a virtual world full of crap in terms of information about trading indicators. We cannot deny that the internet has given us the ease of access on several technical indicators and charts, which have made some investors knowledgeable in the field and have actually make others real fortune. What I am saying is that investors should not rely on suggested technical indicator combinations and expect to become successful. What you should do is to learn as much as you can and identify which indicators are suited to your trading style, which in turn, can yield to higher profit or positive curve in the long run.

With that said, you dont have to use several indicators at once. Experts agree on this. Using several indicators at a time will only create confusion. It will only create conflicting information, which is not good if you want to have certainty in your decision.

A good example is using 7 indicators when deciding on your entry and exit positions. Four of them are telling you to enter a long position but 3 are indicating a future downward movement. While majority of your indicators are giving a green light, the other 3 can become a factor. Statistics may be on your side to pursue the trade but you are more likely to abandon it because you still see the risks.

It does not end there. Using multiple time frames can give you different conflicting information which can become a major factor in your decision. More likely, you end up not trading at all because you are afraid to take a position. 

Even with these examples, you have to identify which indicators are suited to your trading style. Do not overcomplicate things. To become successful, you dont have to constantly tryout new indicators in order to find the best combination. All you need to do is to use and master few and simple ones.

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My student Mr Karthi feedback form I CAN MAKE SURE MONEY AFTER THIS COURSE - currency forex fx guide trading training tutorial

My student Mr Karthi feedback form I CAN MAKE SURE MONEY AFTER THIS COURSE ~ currency forex fx guide trading training tutorial

My student Mr.Karthi feedback form: "I CAN MAKE SURE MONEY AFTER THIS COURSE"

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Forex Margin Trading Make More Money With Less - trading forex on weekly charts

Forex Margin Trading Make More Money With Less ~ trading forex on weekly charts

Forex margin trading is a way of applying leverage to increase the purchasing power of your money. Leverage simply means using a small sum to control a much larger sum. This is possible because it is unlikely that the value of a currency will change by more than a certain percentage over a short time. So you can place a few hundred dollars in your brokerage account to trade on the margin - the amount that you think the price will fall. Your broker will in effect lend you the balance.

Trading on margins is also known in stock and futures trading, but because of the special nature of currencies, you can get a lot more leverage in the forex market. Depending on your brokers terms, you may be able to control 50, 100 or even 200 times your account balance.

This can lead to big profits if you are successful, but it can also mean big losses if not. In general, the more leverage you use, the more risky your trading is. 

We can understand leverage and margins if we consider an example.

Imagine that the current rate on the British pound to US dollar forex market is shown as GBP/USD 1.7100. So to buy one British pound you would need $1.71. If you expected the value of the dollar to rise against the pound you might decide to sell enough pounds to buy $100,000. If your broker used lots of $10,000 each, this would be 10 lots. Then you would sit back and wait for the price to go up. 

A few days later you might find that the price had moved to GBP/USD 1.6600. Sure enough, the dollar has risen and the pound is now worth only $1.66. If you sell your dollars now and buy back into pounds, you will have made a profit of 2.9% less the spread. 2.9% of $100,000 is $2,900, so that would be an excellent trade.

But most of us do not have $100,000 spare cash that we want to trade on the currency exchange market. So here is where the principle of forex margins comes into play. 

Since you are buying and selling different currencies at the same time, your own money only has to cover any loss that you might make if the dollar falls instead of rising. And you would put a stop loss into place to limit that loss, so $1,000 might be all you needed to have in your account to make this $100,000 purchase. Your broker guarantees the other $99,000.

In fact many brokers now operate limited risk amounts where the account will automatically close out the trade if whatever funds you have in your account are lost. This prevents margin calls which can be disastrous for a trader because they mean that you can lose more than you have. But with a forex limited risk account that is not a possibility. The brokers software that you use to control your account will not let you lose more than your account balance.

Using leverage in this way is so common in currency trading that you will soon do it without even thinking about it. Still it is important to keep in mind the risks. Lower leverage is always safer and you may never want to go to the maximum forex margin that your broker would allow.

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TRADING EMOTIONS - forex trading pdf books free download

TRADING EMOTIONS ~ forex trading pdf books free download

The hardest thing to master as a trader once you understand Market Rhythm is not the market, it is YOU. Emotional trading will break you fast.

Trading is not hard, it is mastering your emotions that is. Trading will teach you more about your human short coming than visiting a psychiatrist. As a trader, you must learn the discipline of waiting for proper market set-ups. That is hard!

Your EMOTIONS are screaming for you to jump in or you will miss out. NOT TRUE!! If you miss one trade set-up, the market is generous and will give you another. Learn to trade in harmony with your trend and with proper signals.



The emotions that are deadly to your trading success.

REVENGE, we all know it and have done it. It happens when you are tricked by the market and decide to take another trade before looking at the big picture, then BAM you are on the wrong side of the trade again. Pissed off and refusing to move while your money is going further down the drain. Scared to let go for fear that you are going to get tricked again.

PANIC, that is when you lack the confidence to enter or ride a profitable trade. This happens when you have taken some hits and now you lack the confidence to trade profitably.

IMPATIENCE, this happens when you cant wait for a proper trade set-up and jump on a price hiccup/retracement, often finding yourself on the wrong side of the trade.

ANGER, you know that feeling that comes over you when you have taken a hit or two and you want to kill your computer.

SELF PITY, when you come to the market hoping for crumbs and get none, and cant see why THEY wont let you have just a little bit.

DEPRESSION, something perhaps outside of the market has you at an extreme low point.

INDIFFERENCE, it happens when you have gotten hit so many times that you just dont care any more because no matter what you cant win any way.

All of these emotions work hard against you clouding your clarity and give other traders the advantage over you.

If you are experiencing any of these emotions when you enter your platform; abandon your trading until you have yourself under control and have the clarity of mind to trade. Not doing so greatly increases your chances of handing your money over to a trader who is more emotionally fit and controlled than you are.

We are all human and it happens to us all, but what weighs heavy in your mind will often weigh heavily in your pocket.

Come to your trading platform, well rested, focused and ready to trade. You may take an occasional hit; SO WHAT it is a LESSON. We all get them and if we learn the lesson that the loss has taught us; it will make us much better traders.

DO NOT TRADE YOUR EMOTIONS!!!!!----

TRADE WHAT YOU SEE ON YOUR CHART!!!!


YOU CAN DO THIS (^_^)


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How To Be A Foreign Exchange Trader - forex market profile charts

How To Be A Foreign Exchange Trader ~ forex market profile charts

Being a forex or foreign exchange trader no longer means you have to work for a bank in one of the worlds financial centers. These days you can trade on your own behalf, from anywhere. 

Since the rise of the internet many people are doing this from their own homes, making money in their spare time or even making a full time income. But what is forex trading and how does it work?

A foreign exchange trader deals in currencies. He or she will sell one currency that seems to be falling in value, to buy another that seems to be rising. There are always two currencies involved in a trade (a currency pair) because when you want to buy dollars you have to have another currency to exchange for them. 

In the beginning it is best to be involved with just one currency pair. Most people start out trading in the EUR/USD market, that is the euro against the US dollar. This is the biggest forex market. There is plenty of information available for this market and it tends to have lower costs and be relatively stable. 

Nevertheless forex is a very volatile market. This means that the prices can rise and fall steeply and quickly. The risk is high. It is easy to lose money. In fact, some losses are inevitable, so you should manage your account so that you never risk too much on one trade. You can use stop losses so that your broker will automatically sell if the price goes a certain way against you. The aim is not to have no losses, but to make sure that your profits are higher than your losses so that you end up with a net gain.

You will need access to a computer with a high speed internet connection any time that you want to trade. Unless you use a robot to control your currency trading, you will also need time where you can concentrate on learning a profitable system and then on trading itself. You pretty much need to be able to lock yourself away in a room to do this, at least for a couple hours a day. It is no good trying to trade from your desk at your day job with your boss interrupting you, or using a computer in the family den with kids climbing on your knees wanting to play games. You must be fully concentrated on the movements in the market or you could miss the right moment to either open or close a trade.

If you are a cautious person who likes a solid investment with predictable low returns, you should not become a currency trader. Forex traders are people who enjoy risk and love the challenge of trying to turn a profit in a fast moving market. 

It helps if you are strongly focused on your goals and not easily swayed by emotion. It is important not to let fears of losses or dreams of huge wealth divert you from your strategy. You also need to stay aware of financial news, not only in your own country but in all of the major world powers, because this will affect the forex markets. With these characteristics and a good trading system in place, a foreign exchange trader can reap substantial gains from his or her investment.

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Learn How You can Make Gains from Using the Forex trading Grid Technique - charts of forex trading

Learn How You can Make Gains from Using the Forex trading Grid Technique ~ charts of forex trading

The most important part of how to make money using the no stop, hedged, Forex trading strategy will now be covered. In the preceding articles in this series we reviewed trading without stops, not being concerned about which way the price moves and places to cash in on profitable transactions. We are now going to show how you would make money buying and selling simultaneously using the grid strategy.

The no stop, hedged currency trading grid system uses the rule that one should be able to close a transaction at a gain no matter which way the market moves. The only way this is logically possible is that one would have a buy and a sell transaction active simultaneously. Most traders will say that doing this is not recommended but let’s look at this in more detail. 

Assuming a grid with grid gaps of 100 pips. We are going to use the simplest formation to show the principles involved. This formation is the 100% retractment formation where the price goes up to a grid level and then returns back to the starting grid level. Regrettably things become quite mathematical from here. We are also ignoring broker spreads to keep things simple. 

Let us say that a trader enters the market with a buy (buy 1) and sell (sell 1) deal active when a currency is at a level of say 1.0100. The price then goes to level 1.0200. The buy will then be positive by 100 pips. The sell will be negative by 100 pips. Now we would cash in our positive deal and bank our 100 pips. The sell is now however is carrying a loss of -100 pips. The grid system requires one to ensure that the trader can cash in on any movement in the Forex market. To do this one would again enter into a buy (buy 2) and a sell (sell 2) deal at this level (level 1.0200). 

Now, for convenience let us say that the price moves back to level 1.0100 (the starting point). 

The second sell (sell 2) has now gone positive by 100 pips and the second buy (buy 2) is making a loss of -100 pips. According to the grid trading rules you would cash the sell (sell 2) in and another 100 pips will be added to your account. That brings the grand total cashed in at this point to 200 pips (buy 1 and sell 2). At this stage the first sell that is active has moved from level 1.0200 where it was -100 to level 1.0100 where it is now breaking even. 

The 4 transactions added together now  incredibly show a gain:- 1st buy (buy 1) cashed in +100, 2nd sell (sell 2) cashed in +100, 1st sell (sell 1) now breaking even and the 2nd buy (buy 2) is -100. This gives an overall a gain of 100 pips in total. We can liquidate all the deals and have some champagne as we have made a profit of 100 pips.

Please make sure you understand the mathematics behind the activities discussed above. You may have to reread and draw the movements on a piece of paper to make sure you understand the concept. 

This formation is the 100% retracement formation where the price goes up to a grid level and then returns back to the starting grid level and results in a nice profit for the forex trader. There are many other market movements that turn this strange Buy and Sell at the same time activity into profits. The next article will cover the 50% retractment formation which produces the same amount of profit.

There will be much more on the no stop, hedged grid trading system in future articles in this directory. Do not miss them, whatever you do.

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Know the Type of Technical Indicators - forex trading off daily charts

Know the Type of Technical Indicators ~ forex trading off daily charts

Do you have the courage to venture into the stock market? In a time and age when financial difficulties affecting practically everything, it is time for you to act. Make investments bear fruit. Gain as you want. However, before you actually put everything into action, you must realize that you need some basic and some signals. With this, it is best to trust the technical indicators. They are the mathematical formulas that promote accurate findings. Whatever happens they give nothing but the right information. These indicators allow you to further understand deeply the nature of financial markets.

Understanding the Technical Indicators

As you ponder on choosing a typical kind of technical indicator to employ for your business venture, it is vital for you to take note that these signals are nevertheless rooted from a respective set of precise data which oftentimes include the security price. When you get to the point of having fully absorbed the essence of these indicators, you will then start to feel and spot for patterns that point to how the trends in the market behave. By doing so, you increase your chances of making wise investment decisions. Since the technical indicators utilize a variety of formulas, then the formula likewise changes and relies on the very nature of the preferred indicator.

Why Traders Use the Indicators

Simply put, traders want to be guided. The indicators serve their purpose, so to speak. After all, they offer a profound way of helping in the analysis of the price actions using different types of perspectives. Depending on the complexity of the formula at hand, you will also end up with several findings as you take a look at the price actions.

The Different Kinds of Technical Indicators

The technical indicators are further classified. The most basic is called the moving average which includes a very simple mathematical formula which henceforth gives a clear analysis of the average price of any commodity or security during a given time. With them, you will find it easy to spot the existing trends.

Below are the four major groups of the technical indicators.

Volatility indicators. Included in this category is the projection oscillator, Bollinger bands, trading bands, average true range, and many more.

Momentum indicators. Part of this group is the commodity channel index, RSI, Stochastic oscillator, Chande momentum oscillator, and many more.

Trend indicators. Parabolic SAR, MACD, forecast oscillator, and linear regression are among them.

Volume related indicators. Among them is the demand index, ease of movement, OBV, and Chaikin money flow.

How You can Benefit

Why do you really have to make use of these technical indicators? Although they cant come up with a super complete set of analysis, these signals can nevertheless open up chances for you to discover the areas that closely work alongside the current trends. The basic need is for you to look into the direction or behavior of the trend that is in the current market.

Just take note that anything can happen in the stock market. It is by and large very much unpredictable. At one point in time this is the existing trend while at any time of the day, the latter will change course. Therefore, use the indicators as your guide but never leave out your capacity to make wonderful and smart choices.

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Forex Market Hours Can You Trade Currency 24 7 - trading forex using chart patterns

Forex Market Hours Can You Trade Currency 24 7 ~ trading forex using chart patterns

The forex market hours stretch from Monday morning in Sydney, Australia to Friday afternoon in New York. During that time the market is open somewhere around the globe at all hours of the day or night. 

However it is not a 24/7 market because it does shut down on weekends. 24/5 would be more accurate.

If you need to know the exact times that the markets open and close, you have to take time zones into consideration. It is very simple when expressed in UTC. This is Universal Coordinated Time, formerly known as Greenwich Mean Time. This is the standard (winter) time in Greenwich, London which is the point of zero longitude on the globe. 

So, the normal forex market hours are 22.00 Sunday UTC to 22.00 Friday UTC. This is 10 pm in the UK in winter time. 

New York is 5 hours behind the UK so the global forex market opens and closes at 5 pm Sunday/Friday in New York, 2 pm on the US west coast, 11 pm in Germany, 8 am Monday/Saturday in Sydney.

Things get a little complicated when you start to try to take summer time daylight saving into account. This makes one hour difference in countries that observe it. But daylight saving operates in a different way in the southern hemisphere countries such as Australia which have summer time from September to March instead of March to September. 

The hours of the different major national markets are as follows:

Sydney: 10 pm to 7 am UTC

Tokyo: 12 midnight to 9 am UTC

London: 8 am to 5 pm UTC 

New York: 1 pm to 10 pm UTC

Or we can express that in EST (Eastern US time):

Sydney: 5 pm to 2 am EST

Tokyo: 7 pm to 4 am EST

London: 3 am to 12 noon EST

New York: 8 am to 5 pm EST

You can see that these correspond to 24 hour cover.

However, this does not necessarily mean that trading will be good at all of these times. Just after a major market opens, the prices can be very volatile and unpredictable. Many traders will stay out of the forex market for up to an hour four times a day when the financial markets are waking up in these major cities. 

The US dollar is the most traded currency by a long way, involved in 2.5 times as many trades as its nearest rival the euro. This means that events in the USA have a greater impact on the financial markets than events in other countries. The New York market tends to slow down around 3 pm local time (8 pm UTC) and if you are involved in a US dollar pair, this can be a good time to stop trading for the day.

So theoretically you can trade 24 hours a day from Sunday night to Friday night. Automated software in the form of a forex robot can even make this physically possible. However, a cautious trader will choose his times and will not be active during all of the forex market hours.

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